It appears that the major powers are bent on resolving their major disputes before the end of the year. Recent developments have led to renewed fears of a military confrontation between NATO and Russia over the Ukraine conflict. Russia has sent 90,000 troops to the Ukrainian border, while US estimates put the number at 175,000 by February. Russia has also sent tanks and heavy artillery to the border. On the other hand, NATO has also begun military preparations. The presidents of the United States and Russia held an emergency virtual meeting on the issue in the first week of December, in which both leaders expressed concern over the seriousness of the issue. At the emergency meeting of the G7, the most powerful country in the Western alliance, Russia was warned that if it entered Ukraine, it could have serious consequences. However, President Putin first In the same virtual meeting, he had assured his American counterpart that the Russian forces were not a threat to anyone. Experts believe that the US focus on the Indo-Pacific is re-aligning the balance of power in the world. Conflicts and high-level talks between the major powers over them are part of this lineup. Probably a factor as to why they’re doing so poorly.
The virtual meeting between President Joe Biden and President Putin was said to have taken place in a very cordial atmosphere. According to a Russian spokesman, it was an unusual conversation. Tensions on the border are rising and the threat of a Russian invasion of Ukraine is mounting as Russia has sent thousands of troops to the border. They are well aware of “photo diplomacy” and are openly demonstrating it. That is why the two presidents greeted each other in a pleasant atmosphere at the beginning of the conversation. A Russian spokesman said: “As long as necessary, talks between the two leaders will continue and no date has been set for the end of the meeting.” According to the report, the US President told his counterpart that if military action was taken against Ukraine, Russia would face severe economic sanctions. He made it clear that Russia would suffer the economic consequences of any aggression. President Putin responded by saying that a large gathering of Russian troops on the Ukrainian border was not a threat to anyone. ۔ The question is, if Russia does not intend military action, why did it send such a large force to the Ukrainian border? Europe is in the grip of a severe cold these days, so the Russian military movement will be called extraordinary.
Ukraine is between Russia and Europe and is located on the eastern border of Europe. It was once part of Russia, so there are a large number of Russian speakers there as well. The country’s capital has become a hotbed of protests, and the protests have spread across the country. The reason for the protests was that the President of Ukraine wanted to annex the country to Russia. When the majority of the population wanted to keep it with Eastern Europe. The protests intensified. The President of Ukraine fled the country and took refuge in Russia. The protests stopped and a new president was elected. He could not calm down and a state of civil war broke out. Russia supported military operations in the eastern part of Ukraine, where Russian-speaking people are predominant, but also occupied the Ukrainian island of Crimea and made it part of Russia. Crimea is predominantly Russian-speaking and has been part of Russia before. The war in Ukraine killed 14,000 people and displaced 1.5 million. It was called the worst failure of NATO under Obama. The war also led to President Putin’s emergence as “Iron Man.” Shortly afterwards, the Western powers adopted a new strategy and weakened Russia. They began to impose economic sanctions on Russia, which intensified over time. The ruble depreciated, then its economy came under severe pressure. Russia responded by stepping up operations in eastern Ukraine, with the support of the Russian-speaking part of Ukraine, but Western economic sanctions weakened Moscow. Another setback for Russia came in 2016, when oil prices began to plummet. Russia’s economy is heavily dependent on oil and gas reserves. Russia’s progress has stalled and it has had to focus on reviving its economy. Russia has the world’s largest gas reserves and a large supply of gas to Europe. does. If there is a break in Europe, Russia’s economy is in trouble. Former German Chancellor Angela Merkel has acted as a mediator in preventing Russia and Western powers from heading for a confrontation, and things have come to a standstill. There have been allegations that Putin and Trump had a personal understanding. Russia has also been accused of aiding the Republican presidential candidate in a cyber operation against a Democratic candidate. Also, President Trump did not show much enthusiasm in the case of NATO. In this regard, he said that Europe should pay its share to make NATO stronger. After taking office, Joe Biden resumed activating his allies in Southeast Asia and Europe. Russia is a major threat to Western powers in China and Europe. It was decided to deal with both at all levels. The first face-to-face meeting between President Biden and Putin took place after the NATO summit. It was not very encouraging. According to the statement, the two leaders focused more on the deployment of ambassadors to each other’s countries and the reduction of nuclear weapons.
What does President Putin want to gain by sending troops across the border? Military and political experts say Putin wants assurances that Ukraine will not become part of NATO. That NATO forces come to their eastern border. President Biden has agreed to use all available resources from his Western allies Britain, France and Germany to counter the Russian invasion. The eastern part of Ukraine, Donetsk and Luhansk are Russian-backed territories. The demand for non-participation is a red line for Russia. It also wants assurances that NATO will not conduct military exercises near its borders, while NATO says it is a military alliance whose The responsibility is to keep Europe safe and the exercises are part of its routine, but they are not a threat to anyone. At the same time, it insists that Ukraine is an independent country and free to make its own decisions. ۔ The extent of NATO’s operations can be gauged from the fact that it has conducted military operations in Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya as well. Its scope extends far beyond South Asia. Can a gathering be called a preparation for an attack? In response, Western military experts cite the example of Crimea, which Russia annexed through military occupation. Experts also look at the issue from another perspective. He says if the war breaks out, there could be a direct military confrontation with hybrid warfare and cyber-attacks. That is why the West expressed concern over Russia’s large-scale preparations and threatened to retaliate directly against Russia at the G7 summit, which focused on economic sanctions. At the moment, the two sides are pushing for a negotiated settlement. A Russian presidential spokesman called speculation about the Russian attack “absurd and baseless.” The battle will spread far and wide. Talks have also begun between NATO and Russian military officials. All European countries have distanced themselves from the war since World War II, including Russia. Ukraine is the only region where military action has taken place. And Russia and Europe became embroiled in the war, but talks and economic sanctions stalled. If tensions escalate, Russia could use the gas supply as a weapon, but doing so would be detrimental to its economy. European countries are the biggest buyers of its gas. Experts also point out that since World War II, trade and economic relations have led to a sharp decline in military affairs, even if the two are enemies of each other. On the other hand, mutual economic interests prevent them from going beyond a certain limit.
Russia, France and Britain are recognized nuclear powers and have veto power. Some time ago, diplomatic relations in Britain were strained over the issue of Russian spies and the diplomats were recalled. Similarly, Russia and the United States withdrew their diplomats on a large scale, but no military confrontation took place. When Corona held the world hostage for two years, there was widespread co-operation despite the hostilities. The demands for the formation of a representative government, the prevention of terrorism and the protection of women are prominent, be it China or Russia or the West, all agreeing to these demands. Not willing to do harm. Now the real competition is in the economic field. However, small and underdeveloped countries still do not understand this and they try to satisfy themselves by using Cold War and other similar terms. Are Now the politics of the blocs of the major powers is also a part of this economic competition. Can be used against, so it can only be called his lack of understanding in international affairs. This is the message, and it must be well understood that the economy is the real field. Surrendered to other regional powers. The Taliban have made a third takeover, but now they are facing a severe test in the field of economy. Against this background, the issue of Ukraine, despite all its sensitivities, is unlikely to turn into a military confrontation.